Jon White

September 7, 2010

My National Top 10 for Sept. 6

Here are my votes for this week’s NTRA poll:
 
1. Zenyatta
 
2. Blame
 
3. Quality Road
 
4. Lookin At Lucky
 
5. Blind Luck
 
6. Proviso
 
7. Richard’s Kid
 
8. Debussy
 
9. Gio Ponti
 
10. Paddy O’Prado
 
COMMENTS:
 
Well, the Labor Day weekend now is in the rear view mirror. As for my national Top 10 this week, there are no changes from last week. Quality Road maintained his position at No. 3 after winning the Grade I Woodward by 4 3/4 lengths Saturday with John Velazquez riding for trainer Todd Pletcher.
 
This was Quality Road’s fourth graded stakes victory this year. He won the Grade III Hal’s Hope Handicap at Gulfstream Park in January (103 Beyer Speed Figure), the Grade I Donn Handicap at Gulfstream in February (121 Beyer), the Grade I Met Mile at Belmont Park in May (112 Beyer) and now the Woodward at Saratoga in September (106 Beyer). His lone defeat this year came when Blame edged him by a head in the Grade I Whitney at the Spa in August.
 
Pletcher was pleased at the way the Woodward unfolded, with Arcodoro setting the pace while Quality Road pressed the issue from the outside.
 
“That was Plan A,” Pletcher said. “The No. 4 horse (Arcodoro) showed enough pace that we were able to maneuver outside him and get the trip we wanted. I thought [Quality Road] ran a good race.
 
“I certainly think we can make a strong argument for [having the best horse in the country]. He’s accomplished a lot this year with the Donn, the Met Mile and this race. He’s certainly put himself in position [to be Horse of the Year], if he wins his next one [the Breeders' Cup Classic].
 
“We have tremendous respect for Zenyatta. But we don’t expect to show up in the Breeders’ Cup Classic and have it be an easy field. That’s what championship events are about.
 
“This is the race we expected [from Quality Road]. He’s proven before he’s a top class horse and he proved it again today. It went exactly like we talked about in the paddock. I have total confidence in John [Velazquez]. If he needed to call an audible, he’s always got that backing from me. But it’s always nice when Plan A works.
 
“We’ll see how he comes out of it. The plan all along has been to go from here to the Breeders’ Cup Classic. We’ll have his next-to-last work at Belmont Park and his final work at Churchill. So we’ll probably [send him] to Churchill Downs 12 or 13 days out.”
 
Prior to the Woodward, I wrote in my HRTV blog that “Quality Road towers over this group.” The Elusive Quality colt paid $2.60 to win as the heavy favorite.
 
“These type of situations, anything less than a win is unacceptable,” Pletcher said. “Anytime you’re in that situation, you’re going to be relieved.”
 
 

September 3, 2010

Saratoga Sept. 4 Pick Six

The 57th running of the Grade I, $750,000 Woodward highlights the Saturday (Sept. 4) program at Saratoga. It’s the final Saturday card of the meet.
 
Last year, Rachel Alexandra won the Woodward as the final start of one of the greatest campaigns in American racing history by a 3-year-old filly. Rachel Alexandra would go on to be voted 2009 Horse of the Year over undefeated Breeders’ Cup Classic winner Zenyatta.
 
Five of the last seven Woodward winners subsequently were voted Horse of the Year. Prior to Rachel Alexandra, they were Curlin (2008), Saint Liam (2005), Ghostzapper (2004) and Mineshaft (2003).
 
Even though Quality Road will be a very short price in the Woodward wagering Saturday, the race still is part of the pick six. In many cases these days, even when it is a big race, if there is a short-priced favorite like Quality Road, a track will not include it in the pick-six sequence. The Woodward goes as the tenth on the 11-race card. The pick six begins with the sixth.
 
These are the horses I like the most in Saturday’s pick six at the Spa, listed in order of preference, with their program number and morning line:
 
Sixth Race
7   – Economic Summit 10-1
4   – Astrology 4-1
12 – Praetereo 10-1
9   – Punster 8-1
 
Seventh Race
2 – My Princess Jess 5-2
3 – Fantasia 3-1
 
Eighth Race
11 - Pegasus Tommy D. 7-2
5   – Duke of Naples 8-1
8   – Abilio 9-2
4   – Bishop of Nola 5-1
 
Ninth Race
1   - Vineyard Haven 2-1
1A – Girolamo 2-1
 
Tenth Race
3 – Quality Road 1-4
 
Eleventh Race
5   – Bourbon Bandit 5-1
10 – City Train 5-2
 
COMMENTS:
 
If any of the turf races in the pick six are switched to the main track, I would recommend passing on this particular pick six.
 
The pick six commences with a seven-furlong maiden special weight race for 2-year-olds at seven furlongs. Economic Summit, a $270,000 auction purchase, is a first-time starter by Malibu Moon with a fine workout tab. Astrology, a son of the outstanding sire A.P. Indy, dueled for the early lead and finished second as an 8-5 favorite at Saratoga on July 31 in his career debut. Praetereo, a $250,000 auction purchase, is a Giant’s Causeway colt debuting for leading trainer Todd Pletcher. Punster ran third when unveiled at Belmont Park on July 15 (runner-up Stay Thirsty was a next-out winner when a pick-six single for me on HRTV’s The Edge), then lost by a scant nose at the Spa on Aug. 7.
 
The seventh race is the Addison Mallery Stakes for fillies and mares at one mile on the inner turf. My Princess Jess finished seventh in Saratoga’s Grade I Diana on July 31, but she’s capable of doing much better than that. She ran third in the Grade I Just A Game at Belmont on June 5. I love My Princess Jess’ last couple of workouts. They suggest she will improve on her Diana performance. My Princess Jess drilled four furlongs on the turf in :47 flat on Aug. 13 (best of 41 at the distance), then again worked the same distance on the turf in :47 flat on Aug. 20 (best of 29 at the distance). When Fantasia ran fifth in the Just A Game, she finished just 1 1/4 lengths behind My Princess Jess. Fantasia was good enough to win a pair of Group III races in England prior to being sent to the U.S.
 
The eighth race is an allowance/optional claiming contest scheduled for 1 1/16 miles on the Mellon Turf Course. I definitely see this race as a spread race for pick six purposes. My top selection is Pegasus Tommy D., who comes off a July 3 Belmont Park triumph over a pair of next-out winners. (I also have a soft spot in my heart for this gelding because of his name. The only Thoroughbred my brother, Ron, ever raced was named Tommy D.) Duke of Naples, a half-brother to Grade II Arkansas Derby winner Private Emblem and multiple stakes winner Rhum, has won two of his last four. Abilio opened a 16-length early lead and won by 6 1/2 lengths in a one-mile turf affair Aug. 4 on Saratoga’s inner turf. Bishop of Nola is seeking his third straight victory.
 
The ninth race is the 31st running of the Grade I, $250,000 Forego. This seven-furlong race is named after one of the sport’s all-time great geldings, a three-time Horse of the Year. Vineyard Haven, a three-time Grade I winner, splashed his way to a pretty easy 1 3/4-length win  in Saratoga’s seven-furlong James Marvin Stakes on a sloppy track July 23. That was Vineyard Haven’s first race since last Nov. 28. With that July 23 race under his belt, Vineyard Haven should be a very tough customer in the Forego. Giarolamo has not been under silks since finishing last in the Grade I Breeders’ Cup Classic won by Zenyatta last Nov. 7. Girolamo, a talented son of A.P. Indy, won the Grade II Jerome Handicap at Belmont last year prior to running in the Breeders’ Cup at Santa Anita.
 
The tenth race is the Grade I Woodward at 1 1/8 miles. Quality Road towers over this group.
 
The eleventh is a maiden special weight race for New York-breds at one mile on the inner turf. Bourbon Bandit is a first-time starter from the Linda Rice barn. Rice has had a terrific Saratoga meet again this year after winning the 2009 Spa title. Bourbon Bandidt, a son of multiple Grade I winner Congaree, is a half-brother to multiple Grade III turf winner Silver Timber. City Train has finished second or third in four straight starts. It’s not as if he’s been underachieving, though, because City Train has never been the favorite in eight lifetime starts. At Saratoga on Aug. 7, City Train finished second while running on the grass for the first time.

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