Eskendereya deserves to be at the top of all lists, any individual that questions that need only review the Fountain of Youth one more time. The Fountain of Youth is a stakes run in February and that is where this is going. If you look back at the last 10 Kentucky Derby winners only two have won stakes in the month of February, Smarty Jones and Barbaro, both of which were the first undefeated horses leading up to the Run for the Roses. Want a bigger sample? Go back another 10 years, and only Silver Charm and Thunder Gulch won February stakes between the years 1990 and 1999. That means only four of the last 20 fall into that category, two of which came the closest to Triple Crowns since 1978.
That is why March holds the key to the Derby winner more times than not. It’s no secret that 3-year-olds need to be peaking at the beginning of May to be successful at Churchill, but it seems that we get too far ahead of ourselves with these early preps. Focus on those horses that ran well in February stakes but have room for improvement, a la Dublin or Dave in Dixie. There’s only so much fuel in the tanks of these young horses and it’s apparent that the Triple Crown takes a lot out of them, but it seems big performances early in the year can as well. It’s easy to get excited, we all do in horse racing, but patience is key especially in the Derby.














































